How Egyptian teenagers used Facebook to start a democratic revolution that is about to topple a 82-year old dictator and change the world forever.

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Below is a US diplomatic cable (yes, one of the cables released by Wikileaks) that was written by a US embassy official three years ago about a protest that occurred in a town about 100 kilometers (60 miles) north of Cairo called Mahalla and how a group of teenagers used Facebook to grab the attention of the entire country. Three years later that same social media strategy is about to bring down a dictator and change Egypt, and the world, forever. And at its heart, this is about how the freedom of information and the power of social media can spark a revolution.

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MAHALLA RIOTS: ISOLATED INCIDENT OR TIP OF AN ICEBERG?

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16 April 2008

1.  Summary: Egyptians are uneasy about the April 6 and 7 anti-government riots in Mahalla, which featured thousands of unemployed youth battling riot police in the streets of the Nile Delta mill-town (refs B-D). The violent demonstrations followed on an opposition-organized general strike on April 6, which noticeably quieted Cairo’s busy streets, as many Egyptians stayed home, many out of fear of potential public disorder, and some in solidarity with the strike (ref B). The Mahalla riots have both reflected and fed into resentment about spiraling food prices and widespread anger at the government. Egyptians are in a sour mood, and their frustration seems more vocal than just a few months ago. The government is paying close attention, and is now focused on heading off a follow-on national strike called for May 4, Mubarak’s eightieth birthday. End summary.

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HEROES OR HOOLIGANS?

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2.  Reaction to the Mahalla clashes seems divided along class lines. The lower-income Egyptians we spoke with expressed enthusiasm about the riots, with two independently telling us they were “ecstatic” at the news. Many said, “the government deserved it.” They all attributed the riots to sharply increased food prices. Year-on-year inflation in March reached 14.4 percent; food-only inflation for March reached 22 percent. Many Egyptians acknowledge that the fundamental unspoken Egyptians social pact — the peoples’ obeisance in exchange for a modest but government-guaranteed standard of living — is under stress, and the poor feel this most acutely. One worker remarked: “it is the people’s right (to strike), if their government lies to them, tells them that food prices are stable, but then we go try to buy oil or bread, and cannot afford it.” A cab driver told us, “God willing, such riots will occur in Cairo soon; the only thing stopping us is fear.”

3.  Elites appear anxious. On April 6, many parents of private school children kept their children home. The private German School was reportedly half empty. Referring to Mahalla, a textile factory owner told us, “The poor are desperate, and this is a natural result of that. We may see more riots, and we will definitely see more crime in Cairo; it is already happening; the poor have to resort to stealing.” Meanwhile, Cairo’s limited middle class seems stuck in between – a reflexive fear of chaos feeds their worries of riots, but seems nearly equaled by their admiration of the Mahalla protesters for “giving the government what it deserves,” as one shop-owner told us.

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IS THIS THE START OF SOMETHING?

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4.  The key question is, will the localized incident in Mahalla spark a wider movement? The government is clearly focused on containing unrest. Even while the riots were still winding down, PM Nazif traveled to Mahalla, paid bonuses to factory workers and praised those who did not join in the riots (ref D). The government has also accelerated arrests of activists in Cairo (ref E). The organizers of the April 6 strike — distinct from Mahalla — have already called, via Facebook, for a follow-on national strike on May 4, Mubarak’s eightieth birthday. Even regime insiders have acknowledged the political savvy behind this tactic —channeling current outrage towards the next big event. The GOE responded with a press release announcing that President Mubarak will give a May 5 speech to “underline Egypt’s keen to desire to protect the rights of laborers and accentuate the role they can play in the development process …. and to reiterate the government’s commitment to safeguard the interests of workers against any backlashes they might face as a result of the economic reform program.” More broadly, the government continues to address the shortage of subsidized bread by using military bakeries and distribution centers, and bread lines in Cairo seem to have diminished.

5.  The government’s concern is driven by recent events, but likely also by worried looks in the rear-view mirror. Egyptians are renowned for their apathy in the face of trying conditions. Nevertheless, 1952’s “Black Saturday,” when many foreign-affiliated establishments in Cairo were burned to the ground; the January 1977 bread riots, when tens of thousands of Egyptians took to the streets nationwide in anti-government riots precipitated by the government’s planned cancellation of food subsidies; and the February 1986 riots of the Central Security Forces, protesting a rumored extension of their term of service, resulting in hundreds of deaths nationwide, and USD millions in damage, all demonstrate that even supposedly quiescent Egyptians have their limits.

6.  While there are currently no angry demonstrators on the streets of Cairo, the situation is more tense than even a few months ago. Widespread bitterness about spiraling prices, seething upset about government corruption, disdain for the Mubarak government’s perceived pro-US and Israel posture, and working class economic woes (ref A) bubble up in virtually every conversation. It is not clear how the next catalyst for action — if there is one — might materialize. Neither the Mahalla rioters nor the April 6 group have charismatic, clearly identified leadership. It is significant that the Muslim Brotherhood (MB), now suffering under the arrests of thousands of arrests of its members, distanced itself from both of “movements.” Egypt’s omnipresent security apparatus is also a strong counter-balance to riots and demonstrations. We think it is possible that Egypt will witness further spasms of limited violence, but these are likely to be isolated and uncoordinated, rather than revolutionary in nature.

7.  Although not on the scale of the 1977 or 1986 riots, Mahalla is significant. The violent protests demonstrated that it is possible to tear down a poster of Mubarak and stomp on it, to shout obscene anti-regime slogans, to burn a minibus and hurl rocks at riot police. These are unfamiliar images that lower-income Egyptians thrill to. In Mahalla, a new organic opposition force bubbled to the surface, defying current political labels, and apparently not affiliated with the MB. This may require the government to change its script.

8.  April 6 brought together disparate opposition forces together with numerous non-activist Egyptians, with the Facebook calls for a strike attracting 70,000 people on-line, and garnering widespread national attention. The nexus of the upper and middle-class Facebook users, and their poorer counterparts in the factories of Mahalla, created a new dynamic. One senior insider mused, “Who could have imagined that a few kids on the internet could foment a buzz that the entire country noticed? I wish we could do that in the National Democratic Party.”

9.  Another result of Mahalla is that Mubarak will even more strongly resist both economic and political reform initiatives. Six months ago, economic cabinet ministers openly discussed phasing out food and fuel subsidies in favor of transfer payments to the very poor. That initiative now seems to be off the table. We are also hearing that unrest over prices has strengthened the security ministers in the cabinet in resisting privatization and other efforts towards liberalization. The riots introduce a new dynamic for us as well. Under these stressful conditions, Mubarak and his regime will be even more sensitive to US criticism over human rights abuses and democracy shortfalls. On April 15, Foreign Minister Aboul Gheit, meeting with the Ambassador, cited the Mahalla incident as a strain and added that he hoped that the United States would be supportive of Egypt during this difficult period.

RICCIARDONE

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Source: http://wikileaks.ch/cable/2008/04/08CAIRO783.html

 

The legal viability of prosecuting Wikileaks and Julian Assange under current U.S. law.

According to this report by the Congressional Research Service, very little legal precedent exists to be able to charge (and apply for extradition) and then to prosecute Julian Assange, the founder of Wikileaks, for the crime of espionage against the U.S. The report also cites the precarious legal and political implications of doing so, as well as the conflict with provisions in 1st Amendment of the U.S. Constitution regarding freedom of the Press.

You may read the details of the report below but in my opinion there is absolutely no legal basis to be able to prosecute a foreign national for espionage who is on foreign soil. If the U.S. attempts to charge Julian Assange for espionage, it will in effect be saying that the U.S. can charge and try anyone in the World who comes into contact with, holds, and disseminates information that belongs to the U.S. that it deems to be potentially damaging to its national interests. In effect, it means that U.S. is the supreme legal authority over all people no matter if they are an American citizen or not, and no matter if they are on U.S. soil or not.

For the sake of argument, let’s assume that if the U.S. insists that its laws apply to you (you meaning anyone who is not a citizen of the U.S.) then by that extension everyone who is not a U.S. citizen should granted the same rights and privileges afford every citizen of the U.S. because that would only be fair.

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Congressional Research Service Report

Criminal Prohibitions on the Publication of Classified Defense Information

Jennifer K. Elsea – Legislative Attorney

December 6, 2010

The Politics of Woe?

Obama is a moron. All he did was save Wall Street (who, after having recovered thanks to a gigantic government bailout, wants to financially rape the country all over again – big surprise), pass a feckless form of Health Care, let PB trash the Gulf and get away with it, and win an undeserved Noble Prize. And to top it all off, it has become clear that he is going back on his promise to the gay community by allowing the DOJ to appeal the recent DADT ruling. Of course nobody wants to vote for a Democrat this year but what’s the alternative? That we vote for the Republican assholes and their whole psycho-nut-bag agenda?

This election cycle hasn’t been without frightening entertainment. To distract us from the Democrats’ lack of balls and Obama’s embarrassing mendacity, the Republi-fucks, in their attempt to rebound from having been bitch-slapped so hard that it sent them back into the a pre-Reagan sense of humility, are in such disarray that they’re adopting pseudo-libertarian posturing – pretending that its good ol’ social conservative Republicanism. That’s what all this tea-bag fuckery (Sarah Palin and her fellow witch-bitch brothel) is all about. There’s more trash talk and classless bullshit than on the Jersey Shore.

What the fuck is wrong with this country? Has politics become a tawdry circus? Has the gravity of governing become so superficial that it’s just one big game where one side thumbs their noses and says “neener neener neener” to the other side? Fuck all the fucking lawyers and politicians. Seriously, fuck them. They are at least half of what is wrong with this country. A huge majority of those in Congress are lawyers. And, yes, Obama is a bottom feeder as well. There. Now you thoroughly understand the mood of the “sane and informed” portion of the electorate, you bloated broadcast pundit ass-hats. Any other questions?

Ending Note: Think about this for a minute. We are the largest, richest, most powerful nation the Earth has ever seen, and in the last Presidential Election, the two candidates were Obama and that old fart, McCain - who among other things wanted to bang that MILF, Sarah “Powerwhore” Palin. These two fuckers were our only real options. Come on already. Fuck! Are you telling me that this is the best we have? Again. We have to get rid of the lawyers. They’re fucking us over big time.

Condominium Basics.

I finally got around to uploading the book I wrote way back in the early 1990′s on condominiums, called Condominium Basics. It’s gone through a number of revisions over the years and was once available through Amazon.com. This is the latest edition, published back in 2005 and the good thing is, now it’s FREE.

I confess that the book could use a new chapter on vacation rental/hotel condominiums but I’m too lazy and busy to do it right now, but perhaps in a year or two.

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Atlas Shrugged film confirmed; social conservatives in for a fun surprise

“I like cigarettes, Miss Taggart. It reminds me of a man, ideas, fire, something something man worship, man fire cigarette nicotine BENEVOLENT UNIVERSE PREMISE.”

Reblogged: Article by Barrett Brown

After a half-century of false starts, filming has finally begun on a film version of Ayn Rand’s final and most explanatory novel, Atlas Shrugged. The timing of this independent production (prompted though it was merely by a filmmaker’s potential loss of rights were filming not to have begun by last weekend) is rather splendid, as the election of Barack Obama and the consequent and confused perception that a free republic has now crossed some sort of line into statist tyranny has sparked a new round of interest in the novel on the part of conservatives – many of whom are in for some nasty surprises to the extent that they actually read and understand the book or make any further study of Rand’s philosophy, Objectivism. To wit:

1. Rand is a staunch atheist, and Objectivism denies not only the alleged “proof” of God, but also the possibility of any such phenomenon. Both her fiction and non-fiction works lump Christians together with socialists, fascists, and other “mystics of muscle.” In fact, Rand quite accurately charges Christianity and related doctrines with providing the anti-intellectual foundations by which statism thrives.

2. Equally accurately, Rand dismisses the American “conservative movement” as a ridiculous and dangerous hodgepodge of tribalism, blind tradition, superstition, and platitudes. She even singled out National Review for particular criticism back when National Review was a far better publication than it is today under the leadership of such people as online editor Kathryn Jean Lopez, the dumbest single magazine editor I have ever come across.

3. Opposed to immigration on cultural grounds? Ayn Rand was a Russian immigrant intellectual who, in the grand tradition of Russian immigrant intellectuals, came to this country partly in order to mock the Judeo-Christian traditions upon which many conservatives wrongfully believe this country to have been founded.

4. Keen on traditional family values? Rand not only advocated adultery but practiced it.

5. Rand was a staunch proponent of absolute individual liberty — unlike our conservatives, who regard themselves as such but nonetheless advocate or at least tolerate all manner of social legislation relating to drug use, “sodomy,” and “obscenity.”

6. Atlas Shrugged is filled with over-the-top characterizations and ham-fisted dialogue. This will not be a problem for Palin fans, but the better sort of conservative might find it irritating that every villain in the book has some name like Moodley Spootie Gubbertushie, possesses a “soft, boyish face,” and is forever shrieking out something about “the general consensus” while alternately panicking in the face of the steely example of the book’s dozen heroes. At any rate, your children will find the sex scenes very instructive. I sure as fuck did.

In conclusion, Ayn Rand doesn’t respect conservatives any more than I do.

And in actual conclusion, does anyone else remember a year or so back when all those conservatives were talking about how they were going to “Go Galt,” denying the rest of us the fruits of their crucial productivity in response to the slightly higher taxes that some segment of the population may possibly end up paying under Obama? Neither do they, apparently.

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